When are we going to get 10gigabit ethernet for home users?
1 gigabit = pretty ancient as it has not improved in years.
Is there any chance of the router companies finally counting this as the last tribute to gigabit ethernet, and finally decide to bring out a router with 4-8, 10 gigabit ethernet ports, then sell lower cost 10 gigabit adapters for desktop computers, then finally have laptop makers include 10gigabit ethernet with the laptops?
While it is awesome that they are pushing forward with wifi, they have forgotten about wired connections.
Gigabit is already a bottleneck for most LAN's.
You are a very interesting fellow. First 2.4ghz 40mhz channels, and now 10GbE ethernet in the home. . .
They haven't forgotten about ethernet/hardwire cabling, it's just that the convenience to price equation for most consumers is still in that $100-$200 area for one device to be a router, maybe also do some file sharing, etc., and thats it.
I don't know what exactly constitutes a "last tribute" router, but no I don't think the sunsetting of Gigabit 1000-T is on the horizon soon for the consumer and we (as consumers) will vault to 10GbE.
First
10GbE NICs are $500-1000 (which is more than you can get a laptop or desktop for these day still), and the switches are insanely expensive. Also, GbE cannot be saturated in a LAN with anything less than quite powerful CPUs and extremely fast SSDs, from multiple computers on the LAN simultaneously doing txfring at full speed. That's not a really common place SOHO need unless you are doing some extremely high end video/photo editing. I know more than one people that do photography or video as their vocation and have never once broached the subject of needing faster wired connectivity and switching. Faster NAS, sure, faster client workstations, sure. . .10GbE - most definitely not. And a good friend of mine was one of the first guys with a Red 4k camera when they hit the streets. Trust me, he has more serious LAN needs than you and I put together, and he's doing ok.
More than half the stuff that's plugged into my 24 port GigE switch isn't GigE and it just doesn't matter - printers, Airplay devices, even my HD Tivos and Apple TV connect w/ 100-TX because in about
1/5-1/10th of that usable bandwidth they can stream from the outside a movie that comes close to HD, or using about half that bandwidth they can do it internally from other sources at actual HD bandwidths. I can transfer multiple movies around my LAN in HD, with those client devices using only 100-TX (in fact, the new
TiVo does it over MoCA 1.1, which is not fast!) and also backup several computers simultaneously to my NAS doing multi-GB backups over wifi and hardwired, and my router
doesn't break a sweat (that was doing multiple backups and multiple large file copies simultaneously (one of the clients was running an SSD which helps it do both R&W a little faster from the NAS, and what it doesn't show is that I was also streaming Netflix great on other devices at the same time) and my speeds are great, and I would guess I move more data WAN to LAN and LAN to LAN than 90% of SOHO do in a day.
Even w/ 4k coming, well, I doubt a lot of 4k content is going to be available streaming just because why would you want to compress it any more than you have to, but look what they are doing w/
HDMI 2.0 - you can use the same dang cable! Look at what they are going to cram into that cable, it's amazing. Yes the devices will need HDMI 2.0, but I don't know - they seem to be gracefully able to squeeze more and more out of UTP/STP copper and also HDMI (and even HDMI 1.4 has a built in 100Mb ethernet channel) and there as an emerging HDMI over Cat5e/6 standard (not just baluns, an actual new kind of physical way of doing HDMI called
HDbT).
What kind of devices people end up using in their homes in what kind of use cases will dictate the technology that emerges at the best price point to get it done. It's hard to predict what that will be and if we'll all have great WAN speeds to consume data and also upload/share our own content, but quickly advancing abilities in things like quality and affordability of HD TVs, streamed content, high megapixel cameras, fast home broadband, easier (less techy) setup of local and wide storage, more utilization of cloud resources, etc., will dictate the demand for and usage of higher speed wireless and wired standards - maybe they will be able to squeeze more out of the copper we already have, who knows. These companies are not exactly slow to try to convince consumers (and a great job they do) that they need to keep upgrading, don't worry.
I don't think you can put the cart in front of the horse and expect people to jump into enterprise level stuff to tackle problems they don't yet have. I think
Moore's Law and the
Invisible Hand would argue strongly that the widespread availability will not be preceding the demand anytime soon.